Reflections on TA assessment. Review of fundamental assessment. Reflections on the role of historical analysis. Reflections on point estimates, prediction intervals and ranges of possible outcomes. Review of investment and trading tactics and strategy. Read more...

New Portfolio Alert System. Short-term TA situation. Behavioral analysis of false breaks. Review of investment and trading strategy and tactics. Read more...

New Portfolio Alert system. The Short-Term TA situation. Behavioral reflection on false breaks. Read more...

New Portfolio Alert system. Short-term technical analysis. Notes on US-China Tensions. Notes on differences between our strategic outlooks and tactical outlooks within our overall portfolio strategy framework. Notes on broad timing in the evolution of the bear thesis and our overall strategic outlook. Read more...

Comments on unemployment report. Key technical resistance directly ahead. Important to distinguish timing issues from reward-to-risk ratios. Read more...